Advocacy News
What happens if Prop. 123 expires in July 2025
This has provided $3.5 billion to K-12 education within the first ten years of its enactment
2 minute read • March 27, 2025
Advocacy News
What happens if Prop. 123 expires in July 2025
This has provided $3.5 billion to K-12 education within the first ten years of its enactment
March 27, 2025
Proposition 123 is an Arizona initiative approved by voters in 2016, and has been top of mind at the legislature as policymakers work to find a sustainable solution to fund Arizona’s public school system.
Since the proposition is set to expire in July 2025, lawmakers have limited time to reach consensus and send a reauthorization to the voters.
The history of Proposition 123
In 2000, a similar ballot initiative was passed to allow annual increases to education funding consistent with inflation. However, inflationary funding was not upheld in practice during the recession, and a lawsuit was filed against the state, claiming that the failure to fund inflation was in violation of the Voter Protection Act.
A settlement was reached in 2015 that would allow the Legislature to implement a new funding plan (now known as Prop. 123) to address the state’s evolving economic conditions and meet critical education funding requirements.
Funds for Prop. 123 would be allocated from the State Land Trust, a mechanism that generates revenue through the sale and use of land in Arizona.
With the passage of Prop. 123, $3.5 billion was provided to K-12 education within the first ten years of its enactment, including an additional $625 million in funds over the same period. Inflation adjustments outlined in the original 2000 legislation were also reinstated to maintain the constitutionally-required funding levels.
What happens if Proposition 123 expires?
If the legislature fails to reach a resolution before the expiration (set for July 2025), lapsed funds up to $300 million will be backfilled by the state’s general fund to ensure schools maintain a portion of their required financial support.
The main point of contention in the Prop. 123 negotiations are the percentage of funds that would be pulled from the State Land Trust, should voters approve a continuation of Prop. 123.
Initially, Governor Hobbs supported a plan to increase the 10-year distribution from 6.9% to 8.9%, while others argue it should remain at 6.9%.
However, in a recent shift, Hobbs proposed keeping the current 6.9% distribution rate, but suggested drawing 5.5% from the fund, should voters not approve the new ballot measure. This would be in preference of a regression back to the original 2000 2.5% rate.
Disagreements on Proposition 123 fund allocations
The distribution rate isn't the only source of disagreement, since lawmakers also differ on which school employees should receive pay raises.
Some advocate that raises should be directed towards teachers to encourage employment and combat teacher shortages that have plagued schools throughout the state.
Others advocate that raises should be given to both teachers and support staff, believing that the effective operation and maintenance of schools enables teachers to carry out their instruction.
Senator JD Mesnard (R-Chandler) and Representative Matt Gress (R-Scottsdale) have led efforts at the legislature to send the measure to the ballot for voter approval.
Should policymakers reach a consensus on Prop. 123’s continuation, a special election may be held later this year. If a consensus is not reached, however, then the measure will be taken to the ballot in 2026. •••
East Valley Advocacy News
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East Valley Advocacy News
If you do business in Chandler, AZ, this curated newsletter shares the political developments that impact your bottom line.